cd ${METPLUS_TUTORIAL_DIR}/output/met_output/ensemble_stat
The behavior of Ensemble-Stat is controlled by the contents of the configuration file passed to it on the command line. The default Ensemble-Stat configuration file may be found in the data/config/EnsembleStatConfig_default file. The configurations used by the test script may be found in the scripts/config/EnsembleStatConfig* files.
The configurable items for Ensemble-Stat are similar to those found in Grid-Stat and Point-Stat: forecast and observation dictionaries read in the the ensemble and observation fields, respectively, while the remaining dictionaries and options control the computed statistics and the area over which those statistics are calculated.
For this tutorial, we'll configure Ensemble-Stat to verify 24-hour accumulated precipitation. While we'll run Ensemble-Stat on a single field, please note that it may be configured to operate on multiple fields. The ensemble we're verifying consists of 6 members defined over the west coast of the United States.
-
In the fcst dictionary, setfield = [
{
name = "APCP";
level = [ "A24" ];
}
];To verify the 24-hour accumulated precipitation fields.
-
In the observation filtering options, set:message_type = [ "ADPSFC" ];
To verify against surface observations.
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In the field entry section, set:prob_cat_thresh= [ >=0, >=5.0, >=10.0 ];
To specify thresholds to use for computation of the Ranked Probability Score (RPS).
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In the mask dictionary, setpoly = [ "MET_BASE/poly/NWC.poly",
"MET_BASE/poly/SWC.poly" ];To also verify over the northwest coast (NWC) and southwest coast (SWC) subregions.
-
Set:output_flag = {
ecnt = BOTH;
rhist = BOTH;
phist = BOTH;
orank = BOTH;
ssvar = BOTH;
relp = BOTH;
}To compute continuous ensemble statistics (ECNT), ranked histogram (RHIST), probability integral transform histogram (PHIST), observation ranks (ORANK), spread-skill variance (SSVAR), and relative position (RELP).