Unified Forecast System (UFS) Users’ Workshop | Agenda (Public)

clouds

Jul 27 - 29 2020 | VIRTUAL-LINK FOR THE MEETING PROVIDED TO REGISTERED PARTICIPANTS

Note: The NWS Science and Technology Integration-Modeling Program Office has been coordinating with the UFS Users’ Workshop organizing committee to combine the workshop with the NWS OSTI 2018 Federal Funding Opportunity (FFO) PI meeting. Out of 19 OSTI abstracts submitted to the workshop, 10 were selected for plenary sessions. The other nine abstracts are scheduled for the OSTI program review/PI meeting, which will be held on July 30th, right after the workshop. The OSTI program review/PI meeting agenda also includes one special session on “UFS R2O Project”. All participants are welcome to join the PI meeting on Thursday, 30 July after the UFS Users' Workshop (please find the agenda at the end of the page).

                               Program for the First UFS Users' Workshop (Virtual)

                                                      Registration is now closed.
 

  Monday, 27 July, 11:00 AM – 5:00 PM (EDT)
Mon, 27 July (All EDT)
Introductory Session
11:00 AM Opening Remarks
Neil Jacobs, NOAA
11:15 AM Unified Forecast System (UFS) Overview
Richard Rood, University of Michigan; Hendrik Tolman, NOAA/NWS/OSTI
11:35 AM UFS Medium-Range Weather (MRW) and Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Applications: An Overview and Update
Fanglin Yang, NOAA/EMC; Cristiana Stan, George Mason University; Lucas Harris, NOAA/GFDL
11:50 AM The UFS Short-Range Weather (SRW) Application: An Overview and Update
Jacob Carley, NOAA/EMC; Curtis Alexander, NOAA/GSL; Jamie Wolff, NCAR/DTC; Louis Wicker, NOAA/NSSL; Jeff Beck, NOAA/GSL/DTC
12:05 PM UFS Hurricane Application: An Overview and Update
Avichal Mehra, NOAA/EMC; Xuejin Zhang, NOAA/AOML
12:20 PM UFS Space Weather Application: An Overview and Update
Tim Fuller-Rowell, NOAA/SWPC; Tzu-Wei Fang, NOAA/SWPC; Hann-Ming Henry Juang, NOAA/EMC; Terry Onsager, NOAA/SWPC
12:35 PM UFS Coastal Application: An Overview and Update
Andre Van der Westhuysen, NOAA/EMC; Patrick Burke, NOAA/NOS; Derrick Snowden, NOAA/NOS; and Shachak Peeri, NOAA/NOS
12:50 PM UFS Air Quality Application: An Overview and Update
Ivanka Stajner, NOAA/NWS; Thomas Clune, NASA/GSFC/GMAO; Gregory Frost, NOAA/OAR/ESRL/CSL; Rohit Mathur, EPA; Jeff McQueen, NOAA/NWS
1:05 PM Q&A for Introductory Session
1:30 PM Break
Mon, 27 July (All EDT)
UFS Updates, Cloud Computing, Infrastructure, and Computational Performance (Parallel Session 1)
2:10 PM Graduate Student Tests: Evaluating the Usability of the UFS
Cecelia DeLuca, University of Colorado/CIRES; Susan Jasko, University of Alabama
2:20 PM The CMEPS Mediator in the UFS-S2S Model
Denise Worthen, IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Mariana Vertenstein, NCAR/UCAR; Rocky Dunlap, NCAR/UCAR; Ufuk Turuncoglu, NCAR/UCAR; Jun Wang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Bin Li, IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Jessica Meixner, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Arun Chawla, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
2:30 PM Computational Performance Improvements in UFS Weather Forecast System
Jun Wang, NOAA/NWS/EMC; Jeffrey Whitaker2, Edward Hartnett3, 7, James Abeles4, Gerhard Theurich5, Wen Meng4, Cory Martin6, Jose-Henrique Alves8, Fanglin Yang1, Arun Chawla1
1 NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, 2 NOAA/ESRL/PSD, 3 NOAA/ESRL/GSD, 4 IMSG@NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, 5 ESMF/NRL/SAIC, 6 RedLine@NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC,7 CIRES, University of Colorado,8 SRG@NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
2:40 PM The Unified Post Processor
Tracy Hertneky, NCAR and DTC; Kate Fossell, NCAR and DTC; Ka Yee Wong, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and DTC; Michael Kavulich, NCAR and DTC; Laurie Carson, NCAR and DTC; Wen Meng, NCEP/EMC Huiya Chuang, NCEP/EMC
2:50 PM Summary of UFS Workflow Workshop April 29-30, 2020
Benjamin Cash, COLA, George Mason University
3:00 PM A CMake-based UFS Weather Model Build System
Dusan Jovic, IM Systems Group Inc. & NOAA/NCEP/EMC; Dom Heinzeller, CU/CIRES & NOAA/GSL; George Gayno, IM Systems Group Inc & NOAA/NCEP/EMC; Mark Potts, RedLine Performance Solutions & NOAA/NCEP/EMC; Kyle Gerheiser, IM Systems Group Inc & NOAA/NCEP/EMC; Rahul Mahajan - NOAA/NCEP/EMC
3:10 PM Break
Mon 27 July ​​​​​(All EDT)
Model Dynamics, Physics, and Air Quality (Parallel Session 1)
2:10 PM Continental Scale Heterogenous Channel Routing Strategy for Operational Forecast Model
Ehab A Meselhe, Tulane University; Nazmul Beg, River-Coastal Science and Engineering, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA; James Halgren, Dong Ha Kim, Fred Ogden, Trey Flowers: National Water Center, Office of Water Prediction, NOAA, Tuscaloosa, AL
2:20 PM Development of NCEP FV3 Deep-Atmosphere Dynamics For UFS Space Weather Applications
Hann-Ming Henry Juang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Sajal Kar (1,2), Vijay Tallapragada (1), Adam Kubaryk (3,4), Tim Fuller-Rovvell (3,4), Terry Onsager (4) 1 Environmental Modeling Center, NCEP, NOAA; 2 I. M. Systems Group Inc.; 3 CU/CIRES; 4 Space Weather Prediction Center, NCEP, NOAA
2:30 PM Eliminating Grid Imprinting with a Conformal Cubic Overset Grid
R. James Purser, IM Systems Group at NOAA/NCEP/EMC; Miodrag Rancic, IM Systems Group at NOAA/NCEP/EMC
2:40 PM Progress and Plans for Advances in Air Quality and Aerosol Modeling in UFS
Jeffery McQueen, NWS/NCEP/EMC; Ivanka Stajner, NWS/NCEP/EMC; Tom Clune, NASA/GSFC/GMAO; Greg Frost, NOAA/ESRL/CSL; Rohit Mathur, U.S. EPA
2:50 PM Building Atmospheric Composition Modules for UFS: Different Strategies for Development and Coupling with Global and Regional Models
Georg A Grell, NOAA/GSL; Raffaele Montuoro, GSL; Stuart McKeen, CSL
3:00 PM Development of a NOAA Emissions and eXchange Unified System (NEXUS) for UFS Atmospheric Chemistry and Composition Models
Patrick C. Campbell, NOAA Air Resources Laboratory/George Mason University; Barry Baker, NOAA Air Resources Laboratory/UMBC; Daniel Tong, NOAA Air Resources Laboratory/George Mason Univ.; Rick Saylor, NOAA Air Resources Laboratory
3:10 PM Break
Mon, 27 July​ (All EDT)
Data Assimilation, Ensembles, and Predictability (Parallel Session 1)
2:10 PM Generalization of Multigrid Beta Filter Scheme for Modeling Background Error Covariance
Miodrag Rancic, IMSG at EMC/NCEP/NOAA; R. James Purser, IMSG at EMC/NCEP/NOAA; Manuel de Pondeca, IMSG at EMC/NCEP/NOAA; Kinami Teppei, IMSG at EMC/NCEP/NOAA
2:20 PM Assimilation of the Middle Atmosphere Data in the FV3GFS and WAM: First Results and Impact on the Upper Atmosphere
Valery Yudin, CU/CIRES; Timothy Fuller-Rowell, CU/CIRES; Svetlana Karol, CU/CIRES; Adam Kubaryk, CU/CIRES; Daryl Kleist, NCEP/EMC; and Catherine Thomas, NCEP/EMC
2:30 PM Improving Near-surface Short-Range Weather Forecasts Using Strongly Coupled Land-Atmosphere Data Assimilation
Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah; Liao-fan Lin, University of Utah
2:40 PM Improve US Operational Landfalling Hurricane Prediction through Assimilating Coastal Ground-based Radar Observation with the Hourly 3DEnVar System and Plans to Accelerate HAFS development
Xu Lu, University of Oklahoma; Xuguang Wang, University of Oklahoma
2:50 PM Development of Convective-Scale Static Background Error Covariance within Hybrid EnVar to advance US current and next generation CAM data assimilation
Yongming Wang, MAP lab, School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma; Xuguang Wang, MAP lab, School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma
3:00 PM Impacts of Assimilating GOES-16 Clear Air and Cloudy Radiance Observations on Rapidly Initiating Supercell Prediction
Aaron Johnson, University of Oklahoma; Xuguang Wang; Krish Chandramouli; Thomas Jones; Jason Otkins, U. Wisconsin; Jeff Whitaker, ESRL
3:10 PM Break
Mon, 27 July (All EDT)
Regional Configurations and Extremes: Development and Applications (Parallel Session 1)
2:10 PM Simulations of Convection using the FV3 SAR in Idealized Environments
Louis Wicker, NOAA National Severe Storms Lab; Larissa Reames, NOAA National Severe Storms Lab; Ted Mansell, NOAA National Severe Storms Lab
2:20 PM The 2020 NOAA Hazardous Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment
Adam Clark, NOAA/NSSL, Israel Jirak (SPC), Burkely Gallo (CIMMS/SPC), Andy Dean (SPC), Kent Knopfmeier (CIMMS/NSSL), Brett Roberts (CIMMS/NSSL/SPC), Louis Wicker (NSSL), Makenzie Krocak (CIMMS/OU), Patrick Skinner (CIMMS/NSSL), Pam Heinselman (NSSL), Katie Wilson (CIMMS/NSSL), Jake Vancil (CIMMS/SPC), Kimberly Hoogewind (CIMMS/NSSL), Nathan Dahl (CIMMS/SPC), Gerry Creager (CIMMS/NSSL), Thomas Jones (CIMMS/NSSL), Jidong Gao (NSSL), Yunheng Wang (CIMMS/NSSL), Eric Loken (CIMMS/NSSL/OU), Montgomery Flora (CIMMS/NSSL/OU), Christopher Kerr (CIMMS/NSSL), Nusrat Yussouf (CIMMS/NSSL), Scott Dembek (CIMMS/NSSL), William Miller (CIMMS/NSSL), Joshus Martin (CIMMS/NSSL), Jorge Guerra (CIMMS/NSSL), Brian Matilla (CIMMS/NSSL), David Jahn (CIMMS/SPC), David Harrison (CIMMS/SPC) and Dave Imy (retired SPC)
2:30 PM What Does a Convection-allowing Ensemble of Opportunity Buy Us in Forecasting Thunderstorms?
Brett Roberts, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, NOAA/NWS/Storm Prediction Center, and NOAA/OAR/National Severe Storms Laboratory; Burkely T. Gallo, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies and NOAA/NWS/Storm Prediction Center; Israel L. Jirak, NOAA/NWS/Storm Prediction Center; Adam J. Clark, NOAA/OAR/National Severe Storms Laboratory; David C. Dowell, NOAA/OAR/Earth System Research Laboratory; Xuguang Wang, University of Oklahoma School of Meteorology; Yongming Wong, University of Oklahoma School of Meteorology
2:40 PM Evaluation of Time-Lagged CAM Ensembles during the 2020 HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment
Israel Jirak, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Storm Prediction Center; Adam J. Clark (2), Brett Roberts (1,2,3), Burkely T. Gallo (1,3), Kent Knopfmeier (2,3), Scott Dembek (2,3), David Dowell (4), Terra Ladwig (4), Curtis Alexander (4), Aurore Porson (5), Nigel Roberts (5), and David Walters (5)
1 NOAA/NWS/NCEP Storm Prediction Center, Norman, Oklahoma; 2 NOAA/OAR National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, Oklahoma; 3 Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, University of Oklahoma, Norman; 4 NOAA/OAR/ESRL Global Systems Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado; 5 Met Office, Exeter, UK
2:50 PM Impact of Increased Vertical Resolution on Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity Forecasts Using Stand Alone Regional Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System
Zhan Zhang, IMSG at EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, College Park, MD 20740; Jili Dong, Bin Liu, Lin Zhu: IMSG at EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, College Park, MD 20740; Andrew Hazelton: UM CIMAS, 4NOAA AOML; Avichal Mehra, Vijay Tallapragada: EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, College Park, MD 20740
3:00 PM HAFS-globalnest Real-time System and Its Performance
Andrew Hazelton, University of Miami CIMAS/NOAA AOML; Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan (NOAA AOML); Xuejin Zhang (NOAA AOML); Frank Marks (NOAA AOML); Ghassan Alaka (NOAA AOML); Levi Cowan (University of Miami CIMAS/NOAA AOML); Avichal Mehra (NOAA EMC); Bin Liu (IMSG/NOAA EMC); Jili Dong (IMSG/NOAA EMC); Chunxi Zhang (IMSG/NOAA EMC); Zhan Zhang (IMSG/NOAA EMC)
3:10 PM Break
Mon, 27 July (All EDT)
UFS Updates, Cloud Computing, Infrastructure, and Computational Performance (Plenary Session)
3:15 PM Common Community Physics Package Updates
Dom Heinzeller, CU/CIRES, NOAA/GSL, DTC; Grant Firl, NCAR/RAL, DTC; Ligia Bernardet, NOAA/GSL, DTC; Laurie Carson, NCAR/RAL, DTC; Man Zhang, CU/CIRES, NOAA/GSL, DTC; Julie Schramm, NCAR/RAL, DTC
3:30 PM Coupled Modeling Infrastructure for the Unified Forecast System
Rocky Dunlap, NCAR; Ben Koziol [2], Peggy Li [3], Fei Liu [4], Raffaele Montuoro [2], Bob Oehmke [1], Ryan O'Kuinghttons [1], Himanshu Pillai [1], Dan Rosen [2], Gerhard Theurich [4], Ufuk Turuncoglu [1]
1 National Center for Atmospheric Research; 2 NOAA Global Systems Laboratory / U. of Colorado/CIRES; 3 NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory; 4 Naval Research Laboratory
3:45 PM Extending the Feature-based Within METplus to Include Diagnostic Fields for Understanding Model Systematic Errors
Lindsay Blank, NCAR/RAL and DTC; Tara Jensen, NCAR/RAL and DTC; Brian Colle, State University of New York, Stony Brook; Paul Kucera, NCAR/RAL and UCAR/COMET; Taylor Mandelbaum, State University of New York, Stony Brook
Mon, 27 July (All EDT)
Model Dynamics, Physics, and Air Quality (Plenary Session)
4:00 PM Development and Testing of Coupled Global Unified Forecast System (UFS) – Experiments with an advanced atmospheric physics suite
Shrinivas Moorthi, MDAB/EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA
4:15 PM Testing the UFS with alternative cloud parameterizations
David Randall, Colorado State University; Steven K. Krueger, The University of Utah; Donald A. Dazlich, Colorado State University
4:30 PM Developing the MYNN-EDMF to Improve Boundary Layer Cloud Structures
Joseph Olson, NOAA/GSL; Jaymes S. Kenyon, NOAA/GSL/CIRES; John M. Brown, NOAA/GSL; Wayne M. Angevine, NOAA/CSL/CIRES; Dave Turner, NOAA/GSL; Hannah Barnes, NOAA/GSL/CIRES; and Georg Grell, NOAA/GSL
4:45 PM The Unified Gravity Wave Physics in the Vertically Extended Atmosphere Models of NGGPS and UFS
Valery Yudin, CU/CIRES; Fanglin Yang EMC), Svetlana Karol (CU/CIRES), Timothy Fuller-Rowell (CU/CIRES), Adam Kubaryk (CU/CIRES), Henry Juang (EMC), Sajal Kar (EMC), Jordan Alpert (EMC) and Zhuxiao Li (CU/CIRES)
5:00 PM Adjourn

Tuesday, 28 July, 11:00 AM – 5:00 PM (EDT)

Tue, 28 July (All EDT)
Model Dynamics, Physics, and Air Quality (Plenary Session) - Continued
11:00 AM Examining the Scalability of Physics in the UFS Short-Range Weather Application (SRW)
Evan Kalina, NOAA ESRL GSL, DTC, & CIRES CU Boulder; Kathryn Newman - NCAR, DTC; Evelyn Grell, CIRES at NOAA/PSL, DTC; Michelle Harrold, NCAR, DTC; Tracy Hertneky, NCAR, DTC; Gerard Ketefian, CIRES at NOAA/GSL, DTC; Weiwei Li, NCAR, DTC; Nicholas Lybarger, NCAR, DTC; Linlin Pan, CIRES at NOAA/GSL, DTC; Man Zhang, CIRES at NOAA/GSL, DTC
11:15 AM Theoretical Basis for Stochastic Uncertainty Representation in the NOAA Unified Forecast System (UFS)
Jian-Wen Bao, NOAA/EMC and NOAA/PSL; Sara Michelson (CU/CIRES and NOAA/PSL), Lisa Bengtsson (CU/CIRES and NOAA/PSL), Philip Pegion (CU/CIRES and NOAA/PSL), Jeffrey Whitaker (NOAA/PSL) and Cecile Penland (NOAA/PSL)
11:30 AM Development of GEFS-Aerosols into NOAA’s Unified Forecast System (UFS)
Li Zhang, NOAA ESRL GSL & CIRES CU Boulder; Georg A. Grell2, Raffaele Montuoro1, 2, Stuart A. McKeen1, 3, Partha S. Bhattacharjee4, Ravan Ahmadov1, 2, Judy Henderson2, Haiqin Li1, 2, Gregory J. Frost3, Li Pan4, Jeff McQueen5, Barry Baker6, 7, Rick Saylor6, Jun Wang5, Ivanka Stajner5, Shobha.Kondragunta8, Xiaoyang Zhang9, Fangjun Li9
1CIRES, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, US; 2Global Systems Division, Earth System Research Laboratory, NOAA, Boulder, CO, US; 3Chemical Sciences Division, Earth System Research Laboratory, NOAA, Boulder, CO, US; 4I.M. Systems Group at NCEP/NWS/EMC, Greenbelt, MD, US; 5Environmental Modeling Center, National Weather Service, Greenbelt, MD, US; 6NOAA Air Resources Laboratory, College Park, MD, US; 7Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, US; 8NOAA/NESDIS Center for Satellite Applications and Research, Greenbelt, MD, US; 9Department of Geography, South Dakota State University, Brookings, SD, US
11:45 AM Forecasting Dust Emissions Using the Unified Forecast System: Implementation of the NOAA ARL FENGSHA Dust Emission Scheme
Barry Baker, NOAA Air Resources Laboratory/UMBC JCET; Barry D. Baker1,2, Li Zhang3,4, Raffaele Montuoro3,4, Daniel Tong1,2, Rick Saylor2, Partha Bhattacharjee6,7, Li Pan6,7, Georg Grell4, Stu McKee3,5, Jeff McQueen7
1Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, US; 2NOAA Air Resources Laboratory, College Park, MD, US; 3CIRES, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, US; 4Global Systems Laboratory, Earth System Research Laboratory, NOAA, Boulder, CO, US; 5Chemical Sciences Laboratory, Earth System Research Laboratory, NOAA, Boulder, CO, US; 6I.M. Systems Group at NCEP/NWS/EMC, Greenbelt, MD, US; 7Environmental Modeling Center, National Weather Service, Greenbelt, MD, US
12:00 PM Break
Tue, 28 July (All EDT)
Data Assimilation, Ensembles, and Predictability (Plenary Session)
12:30 PM GEFSv12: Operational Implementation of UFS Sub-seasonal Application
Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Yuejian Zhu, Jose-Henrique Alves, Alicia Bentley, Partha Bhattacharjee, Arun Chawla, Logan Dawson, Bing Fu, Lin Gan, Hong Guan, Dingchen Hou, Walter Kolczynski, Jason Levit, Wei Li, Yan Luo, Geoff Manikin, Jeff McQueen, Li Pan, Jiayi Peng, Shannon Shields, Eric Sinsky, Deanna Spindler, Ivanka Stajner, Russ Treadon, Jun Wang, Xianwu Xue, Bo Yang, Fanglin Yang, and Xiaqion (Kate) Zhou (NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC)
Mike Charles; Mingyue Chen; Craig Long; Lindsey Long; Kyle MacRitchie; Matt Rosencrans and Hui Wang (NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC); Tom Hamill and Jeff Whitaker (NOAA/OAR/ESRL/PSL); Georg Grell, Judy Henderson, Raffaele Montouro, and Li Zhang (NOAA/OAR/ESRL/GSL); Greg Frost and Stu McKeen (NOAA/OAR/ESRL/CSL); Barry Baker and Rick Saylor (NOAA/OAR/ARL); Shobha Kondragunta and Xiayang Zhang (NOAA/NESDIS/STAR)
12:45 PM The Reanalysis for the Global Ensemble Forecast System, version 12
Tom Hamill, NOAA/ESRL/PSL
1:00 PM The Challenges of the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) Development
Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
1:15 PM Advancements Toward a Data-driven 4D-Var for Ocean and Coupled Data Assimilation
Steve Penny, NOAA PSL / CIRES
1:30 PM Break
Tue, 28 July (All EDT)
Model Dynamics, Physics, and Air Quality (Parallel Session 2)
2:00 PM Examination of Aerosol Impacts on the Landfall of Hurricane Harvey (2017) using the United Forecast System (UFS) Model
Dustin Grogan, Atmospheric Sciences Research Center (ASRC), University at Albany; Cheng-Hsuan (Sarah) Lu: ASRC, JCSDA; Shih-Wei Wei: ASRC; Anning Cheng: NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, IMSG; Jeff McQueen: NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Partha Bhattacharjee: NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, IMSG; Hsin-Mu Lin: NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, IMSG
2:10 PM The Behavior of Two Bulk Microphysics Schemes in Aerosol-Cloud Interaction Simulations
Evelyn Grell, CIRES and NOAA/ESRL/PSL; Jian-Wen Bao NOAA/ESRL/PSL; Sara Michelson CIRES and NOAA/ESRL/PSL
2:20 PM An Update on the Grell-Freitas Cumulus Parameterization Including an Improved Treat of Aerosol-Cloud Interactions
Hannah Barnes, CU CIRES / NOAA ESRL EPAD; Hannah C Barnes: Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences at the University of Colorado Boulder, NOAA/Earth Systems Research Laboratories; Georg A. Grell: NOAA/Earth Systems Research Laboratories; Saulo R. Freitas: Universities Space Research Association, NASA/GSFC Global Modeling and Assimilation Branch; Haiqin Li: Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences at the University of Colorado Boulder, NOAA/Earth Systems Research Laboratories
2:30 PM A Stochastic Parameterization of Organized Tropical Convection using Cellular Automata for Global Forecasts in the NOAA Unified Forecast System (UFS)
Lisa Bengtsson, NOAA ESRL PSL; Juliana Dias (2), Stefan Tulich (1,2), Jian-Wen Bao (2), Maria Gehne (1,2)
1) CIRES, University of Colorado and NOAA ESRL PSL, Boulder Colorado; 2) NOAA ESRL PSL, Boulder Colorado
2:40 PM Subseasonal Performance in UFS Simulations Using Two Different Physics Suites
Benjamin Green, CU/CIRES and NOAA/GSL; Shan Sun (NOAA/GSL) and Georg Grell (NOAA/GSL)
2:50 PM Developing a Surface Layer Scheme for the Next-Generation Unified Forecast System
Joseph Olson, NOAA/GSL; Weizhong Zheng (NOAA/EMC/IMSG) and Georg Grell (NOAA/GSL)
3:00 PM Break
Tue, 28 July (All EDT)
Verification, Evaluation, and Post Processing (Parallel Session 1)
2:00 PM Verification and Validation (V&V) of Forecasters’ Needs for the RTMA/URMA, NWS’ Mesoscale Analysis System, with Analysis and Nowcast V&V Framework
Young-Joon Kim, NOAA/NWS/AFS; Tatiana Gonzalez and Eric Guillot (NOAA/NWS/AFS), Bradley Brokamp (NWS Pathways Intern), and Mark Tew (NOAA/NWS/AFS)
2:10 PM Object-based Verification of NSSL’s Warn-on-Forecast Ensemble during the 2019 Warm Season
Michael J Erickson, Weather Prediction Center/University of Colorado; Nusrat Yussouf, Patrick S. Skinner, and Katie Wilson, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, University of Oklahoma Norman, OK and NOAA/OAR/National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, Oklahoma Norman, OK
2:20 PM Case Studies that Exemplify Known Biases of UFS Global Model
Xia Sun, NOAA Global Systems Laboratory and DTC, Boulder, CO, USA; Dominikus Heinzeller (1,2,3), Ligia Bernardet (1,2), Linlin Pan (1,2,3), and John M. Brown (1,2)
1NOAA Global Systems Laboratory, Boulder, CO, USA; 2Developmental Testbed Center, Boulder, CO, USA; 3Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA
2:30 PM Frequent GFS Biases in Winter Season Surface Forecasts
Ronak Patel, North Carolina State University; Sandra Yuter (NC State University) , Matthew Miller (NC State University), Spencer Rhodes (NC State University), Lily McCarthy (NC State University), and Toby Peele (NC State University)
2:40 PM Evaluating Model Physics in the Unified Forecast System (UFS) Medium-Range Weather Application
Weiwei Li, National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), and Developmental Testbed Center (DTC); Ligia Bernardet (2), Michelle Harrold (1), Xia Sun (2,3), Judy Henderson (2), Lulin Xue (1), Dan D’Amico (1), Jimy Dudhia (1), and Michael Ek (1)
1. National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), and Developmental Testbed Center (DTC); 2. NOAA/Global Systems Laboratory (GSL), and Developmental Testbed Center (DTC); 3. University of Colorado/Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), NOAA/Global Systems Laboratory (GSL), and Developmental Testbed Center (DTC)
2:50 PM Tropical Dynamics Diagnostics for Numerical Weather Prediction
Maria Gehne, University of Boulder CIRES / NOAA PSL; Juliana Dias, NOAA PSL; George Kiladis, NOAA PSL
3:00 PM Break
Tue, 28 July (All EDT)
Earth System Modeling (Land/Hydrology, Ocean, Sea Ice, Space Weather, Cryosphere) (Parallel Session 1)
2:00 PM GFSv16: Further Advancements to the UFS Medium Range Weather Application in 2021
Fanglin Yang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Vijay Tallapragada, Daryl Kleist, Arun Chalwa, Jason Levit, Russ Treadon, Jeffery Whitaker, Jack Kain, Lucas Harris, Jian-Wen Bao, Jun Wang, George Gayno, Jongil Han, Weizhong Zheng, Helin Wei, Shrinivas Moorthi, Valery Yudin, Ruiyu Sun, Linjiong Zhou, Anning Chen, Rongqian Yang, Xingren Wu, Xiaqiong Zhou, Henrique Alves, Jessica Meixner, Ali Abdolali, Catherine Thomas, Cory Martin, Wansu Wu, Kristen Bathmann, Phillp Peigion, Andrew Collard, Xu Li, Haixia Liu, Yanqiu Zhu, Xiujuan Su, Shelley Melchior, Wen Meng, Hui-ya Chuang, Boi Vuong, Mallory Row, Guang-Ping Lou, Yali Ma, Jiayi Peng, Deanna Spindler, Roberto Padilla, Geoffery Manikin, Alicia Bentley, Logan Dawson, Kate Friedman, Mark Iredell, Hang Lei, Eric Rogers, George Vandenberghe, James Abeles, Gerhard Theurich, Edward Hartnett, Rusty Benson, Farida Adimi
2:10 PM The study of WRF-Hydro with different atmosphere models for flooding forecast
Wei Yu, Weather Tech Services, LLC; Zuo George Xue, LSU; Weiqing Han, CU
2:20 PM Investigating Compound Flooding and Contaminant Dispersal during Hurricane Florence using Coupled Hydrology and Ocean Models
Ruoying He, North Carolina State University; Joe Zambon (NCSU), John Warner (USGS), George Xue (LSU), Melissa Moulton (NCAR), DongXiao Yi (LSU), Daoyang Bao(LSU), DefneZafer (USGS)
2:30 PM A Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Modeling Framework for the Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS)
Travis Miles, Rutgers University; Hernan Arango, Rutgers University; John Wilkin, Rutgers University
2:40 PM Coastal Ocean Model Coupling Applications at the NOAA Office of Coast Survey: Future Plans and Recent Advances
Saeed Moghimi, NOAA/UCAR, Saeed Moghimi1, Edward Myers1, Sergey Vinogradov1, Andre Van der Westhuysen2, Beheen Trimble2, Ali Abdolali2, Jaime Calzada1, Yuji Funakoshi1, Panagiotis Velissariou1, Joannes Westerink3, Damrongsak Wirasaet3, Maria Teresa Contreras-Vargas3, William Pringle3, Joseph Zhang4, Fei Ye4, Wei Huang4, Kendra Dresback5, Christine Szpilka5, Changsheng Chen6, Jianhua Qi6, Ayumi Fujisaki7,8, Rocky Dunlap8, Shachak Pe’eri1
1 NOAA/OCS; 2 NOAA/NWS; 3 University of Notre Dame; 4 Virginia Institute of Marine Science; 5 University of Oklahoma; 6 University of Massachusetts – Dartmouth; 7 Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory; 8 Cooperative Institute for Great Lakes Research at University of Michigan; 9 ESMF/ NUOPC Development Team; (NOAA: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; NOS: National Ocean Service; NWS: National Weather Service; ESMF: Earth System Modeling Framework; NUOPC: National Unified Operational Prediction Capability)
2:50 PM The NOS Coastal Ocean Modeling Program within the Unified Forecasting System
Carolyn Lindley, National Ocean Service/CO-OPS; Edward Myers (National Ocean Service/OCS); Aijun Zhang (National Ocean Service/CO-OPS)
3:00 PM Break
Tue, 28 July (All EDT)
Regional Configurations and Extremes: Development and Applications (Parallel Session 2)
2:00 PM The West Coast Ocean Forecast System (WCOFS)
Alexander Kurapov, NOAA/NOS/OCS/CSDL; Jiangtao Xu, NOAA/NOS/COOPS
2:10 PM Extratropical Surge and Tide Operational Forecast System (ESTOFS): Global Upgrade and Future Development
Sergey Vinogradov (NOAA/NOS/OCS/CSDL), Yuji Funakoshi (UCAR), Edward Myers and Greg Seroka (NOAA/NOS/OCS/CSDL); Saeed Moghimi (UCAR), Maria Teresa Contreras-Vargas (University of Notre Dame), William Pringle (University of Notre Dame), Joannes Westerink (University of Notre Dame), Jaime Calzada (UCAR), Liujuan Tang (ERT, NOAA/NOS/OCS/CSDL), Shachak Pe’eri (NOAA/NOS/OCS/CSDL)
2:20 PM Analysis of Stream Channel Properties and Hydraulic Routing Methodologies Towards Regionally-specific Channel Routing Algorithms at a Continental Scale
Eric White, Tulane University; Ehab Meselhe, Chia-Yu Wu
2:30 PM The Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS)- Stand-Alone Regional model (SAR) real-time experiments for the 2019 North Atlantic hurricane season and future developments
Jili Dong, IMSG and NOAA/EMC; Bin Liu (IMSG and NOAA/EMC), Zhan Zhang (IMSG and NOAA/EMC), Weiguo Wang (IMSG and NOAA/EMC), Avichal Mehra (NOAA/EMC), Andrew Hazelton (University of Miami/CIMAS and NOAA/AOML), R. James Purser (IMSG and NOAA/EMC), Tom Black (NOAA/EMC), Jeff Beck (CIRA and NOAA/GSL), Henry Winterbottom (IMSG and NOAA/EMC), Lin Zhu (IMSG and NOAA/EMC), Keqin Wu (IMSG and NOAA/EMC), Chunxi Zhang (IMSG and NOAA/EMC), Biju Thomas (IMSG and NOAA/EMC), Vijay Tallapragada (NOAA/EMC), Ghassan Alaka (NOAA/AOML), Xuejin Zhang (NOAA/AOML), Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan (NOAA/AOML), Frank Marks (NOAA/AOML)
2:40 PM A Stand-Alone Regional and Ocean-Coupled HAFS for Hurricane Forecasting in the North Atlantic Basin
Bin Liu, IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Hyun-Sook Kim,* Daniel Rosen,# Jili Dong,* Biju Thomas,* Dmitry Sheinin,* Zhan Zhang,* Henry Winterbottom,* Lin Zhu,* Chunxi Zhang,* Weiguo Wang,* JungHoon Shin,* Dan Iredell,* Keqin Wu,* Rocky Dunlap,# Avichal Mehra,% and Vijay Tallapgrada%
*IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; #NOAA/ESRL/NESII; %NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
2:50 PM Break
Tue, 28 July (All EDT)
Data Assimilation, Ensembles, and Predictability (Plenary Session) - Continued
3:15 PM Development of Hybrid Ensemble-variational Aerosol Data Assimilation System with JEDI
Bo Huang, CIRES, CU Boulder and NOAA/ESRL/GSL; Mariusz Pagowski (CIRES, CU Boulder and NOAA/ESRL/GSL), Cory Martin (RedLine Performance Solutions at NCEP/EMC), Dan Holdaway (JCSDA and NASA), Daryl Kleist (NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC), Shobha Kondragunta (NOAA/NESDIS/STAR)
3:30 PM Recent Development of Simultaneous Multiscale Data Assimilation in Hybrid EnVar for FV3-based Global Forecast System (GFS) and Convection Allowing Regional Prediction System
Xuguang Wang, University of Oklahoma; Yongming Wang (OU), Bo Huang (OU), Jie Feng (OU), Daryl Kleist (NCEP), Ting Lei (NCEP)
3:45 PM Direct Assimilation of Radar Data within the GSI EnKF and Hybrid En3DVar Systems for the Stand-Alone Regional FV3-Based Unified Forecast System at a Convection-Allowing Resolution
Chong-Chi Tong, Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms, the University of Oklahoma; Youngsun Jung (Office of Science and Technology Integration, NWS, NOAA); Ming Xue (Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms/School of Meteorology, the University of Oklahoma); Chengsi Liu (Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms, the University of Oklahoma)
4:00 PM Accounting for land modeling uncertainties in UFS ensemble forecasts and development of coupled land/atmosphere data assimilation for the UFS at NOAA ESRL PSL
Clara Draper, NOAA ESRL, PSL, CIRES; Philip Pegion (NOAA ESRL PSL, CIRES CU), Jeffrey Whitaker (NOAA ERSL PSL)
Tue, 28 July (All EDT)
Verification, Evaluation, and Post Processing (Plenary Session)
4:15 PM Development of a WPC Excessive Rainfall Outlook “Practically Perfect” Tool for Verification and Forecasting
Michael J Erickson, Weather Prediction Center/University of Colorado; Benjamin Albright, Systems Research Group, Inc., College Park, MD and National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration, Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD; James A. Nelson, National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration, Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD
4:30 PM Multi-Model Ensemble Clustering at The Weather Prediction Center
Bill Lamberson, CIRES/WPC and Jim Nelson, Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD
4:45 PM Developing a Community Suite of Process-oriented Model Diagnostics for the Unified Forecast System
Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign; Tara Jensen2, Doug Miller1, Weiwei Li2, David Fillmore2, Dan Adriaansen2, and Christina Kalb2
1University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; 2National Center for Atmospheric Research
5:00 PM Adjourn

Wednesday, 29 July, 11:00 AM – 5:00 PM (EDT)

Wed, 29 July (All EDT)
Verification, Evaluation, and Post Processing (Plenary Session) - Continued
11:00 AM Assessing the Influence of UFS Tropical Forecast Errors on Higher Latitude Predictions using Nudging Experiments
Juliana Dias, NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory; Stefan Tulich, Maria Gehne and George Kiladis 
11:15 AM An Evaluation of Vertical Thermodynamic Profiles and Derived Stability Parameters from Parallel FV3- and Spectral-Model GFS Forecasts
Dillon V. Blount, UW-Milwaukee; Clark Evans, UW-Milwaukee; Israel L. Jirak, NOAA/NWS/Storm Prediction Center; Andrew R. Dean, NOAA/NWS/Storm Prediction Center
11:30 AM Use Satellite Data to Evaluate the Physics Schemes and Their Scale Sensitivity for FV3-GFS
Shaowu Bao, Coastal Carolina University; Dongliang Shen (Coastal Carolina University)
11:45 AM Evaluating Model Physics in the Unified Forecast System (UFS): An Exercise of Using Common Community Physics Package (CCPP) Single-Column Model under the Hierarchical Testing Framework
Weiwei Li (1), Dan D'Amico (1), Lulin Xue (1), Ligia Bernardet (2), Grant Firl (1), Judy Henderson (2), Jimy Dudhia (1), Michael Ek (1), Michelle Harrold (1), and Xia Sun (2,3)
1. National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), and Developmental Testbed Center (DTC)
2. NOAA/Global Systems Laboratory (GSL), and Developmental Testbed Center (DTC)
3. University of Colorado/Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), NOAA/Global Systems Laboratory (GSL), and Developmental Testbed Center (DTC)
12:00 PM Break
Wed, 29 July (All EDT)
Earth System Modeling (Land/Hydrology, Ocean, Sea Ice, Space Weather, Cryosphere) (Plenary Session)
12:30 PM Development of a Fully Coupled UFS-based System: Science Formulation of Seasonal-to-Subseasonal Prototypes
Jessica Meixner, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Lydia Stefanova, Denise Worthen, Jiande Wang, Bin Li, Jian Kuang, IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Jun Wang, Shrinivas Moorthi, Robert Grumbine, Arun Chawla, Avichal Mehra, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
12:45 PM Project Update: Improving Week 3-4 Weather Prediction Through a Global Covection-Allowing Version of the NOAA Unified Coupled Modeling Framework
Benjamin Cash, IGES/COLA; James Kinter III (GMU/COLA), Larry Marx (GMU/COLA), Paul Dirmeyer (GMU/COLA), Bohua Huang (GMU/COLA), Chul-Su Shin (GMU/COLA), Ravi Shukla (GMU/COLA)
1:00 PM Direct Effect of Aerosols on Subseasonal Prediction in UFS with Inline Chemistry Model
Shan Sun, NOAA Global Systems Laboratory; Li Zhang, Georg Grell, Rainer Bleck and Haiqin Li, NOAA Global Systems Laboratory and CU CIRES
1:15 PM Preliminary Assessment of Land-surface Energy and Water Budgets and Land-atmosphere Interactions in UFS
Paul A. Dirmeyer, George Mason University; Benjamin Cash (GMU/COLA); Michael Ek (NCAR)
1:30 PM Break
Wed, 29 July (All EDT)
UFS Updates, Cloud Computing, Infrastructure, and Computational Performance (Parallel Session 2)
2:00 PM Testing Framework Towards Unified UFS System
Minsuk Ji, IMSG at NOAA/NCEP/EMC; Jun Wang, NOAA/NCEP/EMC; Dusan Jovic, IMSG at NOAA/NCEP/EMC; Moorthi Shrinivas, NOAA/NCEP/EMC; Arun Chawla, NOAA/NCEP/EMC
2:10 PM An Overview of the Flexible Model System (FMS) and How to Contribute
Tom Robinson, SAIC / GFDL
2:20 PM Numerical Weather Prediction at scale in the AWS Cloud
Kevin Jorissen, Amazon Web Services and Zac Flamig, Amazon Web Services
2:30 PM FV3 in AWS: Successes and Challenges
Brian Etherton, Maxar Technologies, Stefan Cecelski, Maxar Technologies, Christopher Cassidy, Maxar Technologies, and Travis Hartman, Maxar Technologies
2:40 PM Performance and Portability: Creating Efficient Docker Containers of the Global Atmospheric Circulation Model FV3GFS
Mark Cheeseman; Eddie Davis; Johann Dham; Rhea George; Oliver Elbert; Jeremy McGibbon; Spenser Clark; and Oliver Fuhrer, Vulcan Inc
2:50 PM Separating Physics and Performance: Using Python to Implement a Fast and Maintainable FV3 Dynamical Core
Rhea George, Vulcan Inc.; Rhea George, Oliver Elbert, Mark Cheeseman, Oliver Fuhrer, Eddie Davis, Tobias Wicky, Johann Dahm, Jeremy McGibbon, all Vulcan Inc.
3:00 PM Break
Wed, 29 July (All EDT)
Model Dynamics, Physics, and Air Quality (Parallel Session 3)
2:00 PM Implementing the RAP/HRRR orographic drag parameterization suite in the FV3GFS
Michael Toy, CIRES, University of Colorado and NOAA/GSL; Joseph B. Olson, John M. Brown and Georg A. Grell (NOAA/GSL); Tanya G. Smirnova and Jaymes S. Kenyon (CIRES)
2:10 PM Development of the CRTM in support of UFS applications
Benjamin T Johnson, UCAR/JCSDA; Patrick Stegmann (UCAR/JCSDA), Cheng Dang (UCAR/JCSDA)
2:20 PM Improving Tropical Cyclone Forecasting through Physics Advancement: using the HWRF Physics Suite in NOAA’s New Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System
Man Zhang, NOAA/ESRL/GSL and CU/CIRES and Developmental Testbed Center; G. Firl, Developmental Testbed Center and NCAR; M. Biswas, Developmental Testbed Center and NCAR; D. Heimzeller, NOAA/ESRL/GSL, CU/CIRES and Developmental Testbed Center; L. Bernardet, NOAA/ESRL/GSL and Developmental Testbed Center; M. Ek, Developmental Testbed Center and NCAR; E. Aligo, IMSG, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; C. Zhang, IMSG, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
2:30 PM Physics Experiments with the UFS Short-Range Weather Application for Prediction of an Extreme Heat Wave
Linlin Pan, CIRES, GSD/NOAA and DTC; Linlin Pan1,2,3, Evelyn Grell2,3,6, Evan Kalina1,2,3, Kathryn Newman3,4, Ligia Bernardet1,3, Dom Heinzeller1,2,3, Jeff Beck1,3,5, Gerard Ketefian1,2,3, Jamie Wolf3,4, Michelle Harrold3,4, Tracy Hertneky3,4, Nick Lybarger3,4, and Georg Grell1 GSL/NOAA; 2 CIRES, CU; 3DTC; 4National Center for Atmospheric Research; 5CIRA, CSU; 6PSL/NOAA
  Evaluating the Impact of Planetary Boundary Layer, Land Surface Model, and Microphysics Parameterization Schemes on Upper-level Cloud Objects in Simulated GOES-16 Brightness Temperatures
Sarah Griffin, Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Jason A. Otkin: Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Sharon E. Nebuda: Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Tara L. Jensen: National Center for Atmospheric Research/Research Applications Laboratory and Developmental Testbed Center; Patrick S. Skinner: Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, University of Oklahoma, NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory, and School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma; Eric Gilleland: National Center for Atmospheric Research; Timothy A. Supinie: Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms, University of Oklahoma; Ming Xue: Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms, University of Oklahoma
2:50 PM Reinvigorating the Activities of the UFS Physics Working Group to Address NOAA’s Operational Needs
Jian-Wen Bao, NOAA/EMC and NOAA/PSL; Vijay Tallapragada (NOAA/EMC), Jack Kain (NOAA/NSSL), Georg Grell (NOAA/PSL), Jim Doyle (NRL)
3:00 PM Break
Wed, 29 July (All EDT)
Verification, Evaluation, and Post Processing (Parallel Session 2)
Chair: Linden Wolf
Moderator: Tara Jensen
2:00 PM The Impact of Horizontal Grid Spacing on the Development and Evolution of a Mixed-mode Convective Event in the UFS-SRW Application
Michelle Harrold, NCAR/RAL & DTC; Tracy Hertneky (NCAR/RAL & DTC); Evan Kalina (CIRES at NOAA/GSL & DTC); Kathryn Newman (NCAR/RAL & DTC)
2:10 PM Diagnosing Hurricane Track Errors in the UFS Short-Range Weather Application (SRW)
Nicholas D. Lybarger, NCAR and DTC; Evan Kalina - CIRES at NOAA/GSL and DTC; Kathryn Newman - NCAR and DTC
2:20 PM Verification and Evaluation in the Development of UFS Coupled Seasonal-to-Subseasonal Prototypes
Lydia Stefanova, IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Jessica Meixner (NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC), Jiande Wang (IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC), Partha Bhattacharjee (IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC), Robert Grumbine (NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC), Denise Worthen (IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC), Shrinivas Moorthi (NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC), Bin Li (IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC), Jian Kuang (IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC), Jun Wang (NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC), Arun Chawla (NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC), Avichal Mehra (NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC)
2:30 PM Comparison of Subseasonal Forecast Bias in SubX and UFS Benchmark 3 Reforecasts
Keri Kodama, Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, George Mason University; David Straus, James Kinter, Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, George Mason University
2:40 PM Developing Week 3-4 Storminess Outlook Tool Based on NCEP Dynamic Forecast Systems
Edmund Kar-Man Chang, Stony Brook University; Wanqiu Wang, NOAA/CPC
2:50 PM Sources of Tropical Subseasonal Skill in the CFSv2
Carl Schreck, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies (NCICS), NCSU; Matthew A. Janiga (NRL), Stephen Baxter (CPC)
3:00 PM Break
Wed, 29 July (All EDT)
Earth System Modeling (Land/Hydrology, Ocean, Sea Ice, Space Weather, Cryosphere) (Plenary Session) - Continued
Chair: Stacy Mackell
Moderator: Tara Jensen
3:15 PM Global to Channel Scale High Resolution Comprehensive Spectrum Modeling of Coastal Flooding
Joannes J. Westerink, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Earth Sciences, University of Notre Dame; William Pringle, Damrongsak Wirasaet, Maria Teresa Contreras Vargas, Coleman Blakely, Guoming Ling, Brendan Woods Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Earth Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN; Edward Myers, Sergey Vinogradov, Saeed Moghimi; NOAA/NOS/Coast Survey and Development Laboratory, Silver Spring MD; Andre van der Westhuysen, Ali Abdolali; NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Environmental Modeling Center, College Park MD
3:30 PM Verification of the Ocean State in the UFS Coupled System
Jiande Wang, IMSG/NOAA/NCEP/EMC; Jessica Meixner2, Lydia Stefanova1, Partha Bhattacharjee1, Robert Grumbine2, Denise Worthen1, Shrinivas Moorthi2, Bin Li1, Jian Kuang1, Jun Wang2, Arun Chawla2, Avichal Mehra2
1IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, 2NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
Wed, 29 July (All EDT)
Regional Configurations and Extremes: Development and Applications (Plenary Session)
3:45 PM A Limited Area Modeling Capability for the Finite-Volume Cubed-Sphere (FV3) Dynamical Core
Jacob Carley, NCEP/Environmental Modeling Center; Thomas L. Black - NCEP/EMC, James A. Abeles - IMSG and NCEP/EMC, Benjamin T. Blake - IMSG and NCEP/EMC, Dusan Jovic - IMSG and NCEP/EMC, Eric Rogers - NCEP/EMC, Xiaoyan Zhang - IMSG and NCEP/EMC, Eric A. Aligo - IMSG and NCEP/EMC, Logan C. Dawson - NCEP/EMC, Ying Lin - NCEP/NCO, Edward Strobach - IMSG and NCEP/EMC, Perry C. Shafran - IMSG and NCEP/EMC
4:00 PM The Extended Schmidt Gnomonic Grid for Regional Applications
R. James Purser, IM Systems Group at NOAA/NCEP/EMC; Dusan Jovic1,2, Gerard Ketefian3,4, Tom Black2, Jeff Beck3,5, Jili Dong1,2, and Jacob Carley2
1IM Systems Group; 2NOAA/NCEP/EMC; 3NOAA/ESRL/GSL; 4CIRES; 5CIRA.
4:15 PM Moving Nest Implementation for the Hurricane Analysis and Forecasting System in the Unified Forecast System Framework
Xuejin Zhang, AOML/HRD; William Ramstrom (AOML/HRD & University of Miami/CIMAS); Kyle Ahern (AOML/HRD & University of Miami/CIMAS)
S. G. Gopalakrishnan (AOML/HRD)
4:30 PM Exploring Regional FV3-based Configurations during the 2020 Virtual Spring Forecasting Experiment
Burkely Gallo, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies and NOAA/NWS/NCEP Storm Prediction Center; Israel Jirak, NOAA/NWS/NCEP Storm Prediction Center; Adam Clark, NOAA/OAR National Severe Storms Laboratory; Brett Roberts, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, NOAA/NWS/NCEP Storm Prediction Center, and NOAA/OAR National Severe Storms Laboratory; Kent Knopfmeier, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies and NOAA/OAR National Severe Storms Laboratory; David Harrison, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies and NOAA/NWS/NCEP Storm Prediction Center; Yunheng Wang, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies and NOAA/OAR National Severe Storms Laboratory; Jeff Beck, NOAA/OAR/ESRL Global Systems Laboratory; Curtis Alexander, NOAA/OAR/ESRL Global Systems Laboratory; Jacob Carley, NOAA/NWS/NCEP Environmental Modelling Center; Lucas Harris, NOAA/OAR Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory; Caroline Bain, United Kingdom Met Office
4:45 PM Using an Asynchronous Coupled Atmosphere-Lake Modeling System to Improve Lake-Effect Snowfall Forecasts over the Laurentian Great Lakes Region
David Wright, University of Michigan; Christiane Jablonowski, University of Michigan; Ayumi Fujisaki-Manome, Cooperative Institute for Great Lakes Research, University of Michigan; Philip Chu, Great Lakes Environmental Research Lab; Greg Mann, National Weather Service; Eric Anderson, Great Lakes Environmental Research Lab; Brent Lofgren, Great Lakes Environmental Research Lab
5:00 PM Adjourn

Thur, 30 July (All EDT)
Program Review for 2018 NWS/OSTI Federal Funding Opportunity (FFO) Projects
(in combination with UFS Users’ Workshop July 27-29, 2020)
12:00 PM Opening remarks
Dorothy Koch, NOAA NWS/OSTI-Modeling
12:10 PM Overview of NWS/OSTI 2018 FFO projects
Yan Xue/Christopher Hedge, NOAA NWS/OSTI-Modeling
12:25 PM Meeting logistics
Karen Keith, NOAA NWS/OSTI-Modeling
Session 1
Weeks 3-4 Prediction and its Challenges
Chair: David DeWitt, NOAA NWS/Climate Prediction Center
12:30 PM Convection-Permitting Subseasonal Global Prediction: Evaluation for Operational Application in NOAA
Cliff Mass (PI), University of Washington
12:45 PM Predictability of extreme events in UFS at subseasonal time scale
Cristiana Stan (PI), V. Krishnamurthy, George Mason University
1:00 PM Development and evaluation of new statistical calibration methods for multi-model ensemble week 3-4 probabilistic forecasts
Andrew Robertson (PI), Nicolas Vigaud, Michael K. Tippett, Jing Yuan, Nachiketa Acharya, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University
1:15 PM Impact of snowpack on NCEP Weeks 3-4 Forecasts
Xubin Zeng (PI), University of Arizona
1:30 PM Break
Session 2
Data assimilation, physics and evaluation/validation
Chair: Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA NWS/EMC
1:40 PM Continued Assimilation and Enhancement of the Blended High-Resolution Snow Depth Analysis into NWP models for global/regional Applications
Cezar Kongoli (PI), Thomas Smith, University of Maryland
1:55 PM Sub-Grid Cloud Overlap Radiation Enhancements for UFS Global Weather Forecasting and Tropical Cyclone Prediction
Michael Iacono (PI), John Henderson, Atmospheric and Environmental Research
2:10 PM Development and Application of Microphysics Specific and Distribution Consistent Microwave Radiance Forward Models (CRTM) for the NGGPS-FV3 Model under the JEDI Framework
Eugene Clothiaux (PI), Xingchao Chen, Yinghui Lu, Pennsylvania State University
2:25 PM Adding tropical cyclone genesis verification capabilities to the Model Evaluation Tools –Tropical Cyclone (MET-TC) software
Dan Halperin (PI), Kathryn Newman, John Halley Gotway, Tara Jensen, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, NCAR/DTC
2:40 PM Real time assimilation of GOES-16 total lightning into the NSSL 3DVAR code to improve 0-12h forecasts of high impact weather events at cloud resolving scales 
Alexandre Fierro (PI), Junjun Hu, Yunheng Wang, Jidong Gao, Edward Mansell, Don MacGorman, CIMMS, University of Oklahoma, NOAA OAR/NSSL, Israel Jirak (SPC/NOAA), Adam Clark (NSSL/NOAA) 
2:55 PM Break
Session 3
UFS-R2O Project
Chairs: Jim Kinter, Jeff Whitaker, Vijay Tallapragada, George Mason University, NOAA OAR/ESRL/PSL, NOAA NWS/EMC
3:05 PM Overview of the UFS-R2O Project
Jeff Whitaker, NOAA OAR/ESRL/PSL
3:25 PM Open discussions (Town Hall style)
Jim Kinter,
George Mason University
4:00 PM Adjourn